GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 6/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palestino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera División, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palestino

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PalestinoDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
A. ItalianoLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PalestinoA. Italiano
48.1Attack40.4
51.9Defence54.4
50.0Form36.8
51.2Power45.4
1.44xG1.04
View match centre →