Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Komárno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Paks are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Komárno are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Komárno hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Komárno holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Komárno
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
7.6%
Komárno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 9 · avg 4.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80