Paksvs
Budapest Honved
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Paks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Budapest Honved are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paks hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the NB I, while Paks holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paks
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
8.2%
Paks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20