Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Pakhtakor are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Xorazm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40