Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Paide are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Zira are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zira hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Zira holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zira
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Zira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80