Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Paide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60