Paidevs
Nõmme United
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 4/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Paide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nõmme United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paide
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20