Pagovs
Tupapa Maraerenga
COMPLETEDWorld · OFC Champions League · 2/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pago · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Pago are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tupapa Maraerenga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupapa Maraerenga hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the OFC Champions League, while Pago holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pago
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Pago has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00