PafosvsHNK Hajduk Split

Pafos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.