Padovavs
Ospitaletto
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Padova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00