GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OspitalettoLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaOspitaletto
55.6Attack33.3
44.4Defence0.0
44.4Form0.0
51.1Power15.3
2.24xG1.39
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