GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga 3 · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paredes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pacos Ferreira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Paredes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paredes hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Liga 3, while Paredes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paredes

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

18.0%

Paredes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pacos FerreiraLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ParedesWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pacos FerreiraParedes
33.3Attack40.5
33.3Defence73.8
0.0Form46.4
23.7Power54.4
0.66xG1.13
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