Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Pachern are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Weiz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weiz hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (19.9 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Weiz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weiz
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
7.4%
Weiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20