Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
P-Iirot are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ilves are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Suomen Cup, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60