GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muras United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ozgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Muras United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muras United

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OzgonWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Muras UnitedWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OzgonMuras United
68.4Attack68.5
61.4Defence70.4
68.4Form72.2
66.7Power70.5
1.29xG1.47
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