Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ozgon · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ozgon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Asiagoal are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ozgon hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Premier League, while Ozgon holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ozgon
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Ozgon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60