GGOALVIO

England · League One · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oxford United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford United hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the League One, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oxford United

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

12.5%

Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oxford UnitedLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Milton Keynes DonsLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
56.5Attack50.0
61.2Defence50.0
57.1Form50.0
58.5Power50.0
1.73xG0.97
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