GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oxford United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oxford United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ipswich are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oxford United

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

14.5%

Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oxford UnitedWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IpswichLWDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Oxford UnitedIpswich
38.1Attack33.3
76.2Defence77.8
42.9Form66.7
51.7Power62.6
1.24xG1.01
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