Oxford Unitedvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oxford United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Crawley Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oxford United
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20