GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oxford City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bedford Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford City hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 13.4% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oxford CityWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bedford TownDDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Oxford CityBedford Town
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.55xG0.96
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