GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ponferradina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oviedo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ponferradina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ponferradina hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ponferradina holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ponferradina

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Ponferradina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OviedoDDLLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PonferradinaWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OviedoPonferradina
41.7Attack60.0
50.0Defence73.3
50.0Form73.3
50.3Power70.9
1.24xG1.75
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