Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oviedo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oviedo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Le Havre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oviedo hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Oviedo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oviedo
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Oviedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00