GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bumprom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ostrovets FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bumprom are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bumprom hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the 1. Division, while Bumprom holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bumprom

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

12.7%

Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ostrovets FCWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BumpromLWDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ostrovets FCBumprom
38.9Attack61.1
51.9Defence55.6
33.3Form51.9
43.5Power56.2
1.08xG1.70
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