GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ostersunds FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Umeå FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ostersunds FKLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Umeå FCLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ostersunds FKUmeå FC
22.2Attack33.3
72.2Defence16.7
38.9Form16.7
45.6Power26.2
1.60xG1.01
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