Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osters IF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Osters IF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Norrby IF are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 49.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Superettan, while Osters IF holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Osters IF
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80