Osakavs
Parceiro Nagano
SCHEDULEDJapan · J3 League · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osaka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Osaka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Parceiro Nagano are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Osaka hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the J3 League, while Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Osaka
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
14.5%
Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20