GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Osaka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Osaka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Parceiro Nagano are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Osaka hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the J3 League, while Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Osaka

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

14.5%

Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OsakaDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Parceiro NaganoWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
OsakaParceiro Nagano
36.0Attack45.6
66.7Defence47.4
46.5Form43.9
51.1Power47.1
1.23xG0.82
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