GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/1/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Orsomarso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OrsomarsoWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union MagdalenaDDWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OrsomarsoUnion Magdalena
27.5Attack50.7
66.7Defence71.0
41.2Form60.9
47.2Power62.0
0.49xG0.97
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