Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Orsomarso are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Patriotas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.2 against 48.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60