Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slonim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orsha are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Slonim are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Slonim hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the 1. Division, while Slonim holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slonim
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Slonim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60