Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orsha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orsha are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Minsk II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.6 against 44.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the 1. Division, while Orsha holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orsha
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Orsha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40