Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orleans are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gobelins are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40