Orlando City SCvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Orlando City SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00