Orlando City SCvs
Leon
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orlando City SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and leon hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 12.9% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.3%
Model confidence
12.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60