GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Orlando City SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

6.3%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orlando City SCDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC CincinnatiLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati
55.6Attack83.3
13.0Defence18.5
37.0Form48.1
36.6Power50.9
2.83xG3.94
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