Orlando City SCvs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Orlando City SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.6 against 34.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Orlando City SC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
9.0%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60