Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Orkla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melhus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Melhus hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Melhus holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
75.4%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20