Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orihuela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orihuela are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cieza are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orihuela hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Orihuela holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orihuela
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
12.6%
Orihuela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00