GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 7/18/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Oriental are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Huracan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Segunda División, while Oriental holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oriental

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OrientalDLDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo HuracanLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OrientalSportivo Huracan
41.3Attack31.6
63.5Defence57.9
46.0Form38.6
52.1Power45.4
1.14xG0.62
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