Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Oriental are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Miramar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Segunda División, while Oriental holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oriental
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40