Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Oriental are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colón are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80