Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Oriental are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerrito are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40