GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Orgryte IS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Malmo FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Allsvenskan, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malmo FF

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orgryte ISWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Malmo FFWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Orgryte ISMalmo FF
41.7Attack64.6
22.9Defence43.8
27.1Form47.9
32.4Power52.8
1.43xG2.90
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