Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Orense SC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aucas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Liga Pro, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aucas
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60