GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orenburg II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Rubin Kazan 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orenburg IILLDLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rubin Kazan 2DWLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IIRubin Kazan 2
46.7Attack36.7
46.7Defence50.0
38.3Form33.3
45.1Power41.3
1.52xG1.06
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