Orenburg IIvs
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Orenburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
9.6%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60