GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Orenburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

9.6%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orenburg IILLDWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IIPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
46.7Attack78.3
46.7Defence53.3
38.3Form70.0
45.1Power66.1
1.31xG2.45
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