Orenburg IIvs
Nosta
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orenburg II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Orenburg II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nosta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orenburg II
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80