Orelvs
Sevastopol
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sevastopol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60