OrelvsMetallurg Lipetsk

Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.