Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
10%
LowconfidenceOrel are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Kvant are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and orel hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 21.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 3, favouring Orel with 9.9% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
9.9%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OrelLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KvantLDWLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
OrelKvant
44.4Attack33.3
38.9Defence7.4
40.7Form11.1
42.8Power21.6
2.46xG1.05