Orelvs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Orel holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80