Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Orebro SK are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sandviken are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Superettan, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
13.0%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40